Sport Picks

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Leopards vs Mahia

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Onyango A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Leopards and Mahia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Leopards
30%
Draws
34%
Mahia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mahia haven't matched Leopards's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leopards's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Leopards Clean Sheet 68%
Mahia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopards Mahia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Mahia
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Leopards
0:1
Jun 2, 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Leopards
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Leopards vs Mahia
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Leopards
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leopards Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mahia Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyango A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopards 46 / 100
Mahia 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopards Mahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leopards's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Leopards remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mahia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Leopards VS Mahia
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopards

(Home)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 6

Mahia

(Away)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Mahia
1 : 1
Police FC
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)