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Leopards vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Koutiama Y.
30' Event
Zakayo E.
40' Event
Ouma C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Leopards and Police FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Leopards
39%
Draws
31%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Police FC haven't matched Leopards's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Leopards Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopards Police FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 15
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Police FC
0:3
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Leopards
0:0
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Leopards
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Leopards vs Police FC
1:0
May 27, 2024 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Police FC vs Leopards
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leopards Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Koutiama Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zakayo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopards 41 / 100
Police FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopards Police FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leopards's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Leopards stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Police FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Leopards VS Police FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119