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Leopards vs Shabana

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Semo S.
45' Event
Otieno T.
61' Event
Otieno Omondi W.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Leopards and Shabana finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leopards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Leopards
20%
Draws
29%
Shabana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabana haven't matched Leopards's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Leopards Clean Sheet 68%
Shabana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopards Shabana
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.35 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Shabana
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Shabana
5:1
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Leopards
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Premier League
Leopards vs Shabana
1:1
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Leopards
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leopards Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssenyonjo S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Semo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shabana Compare

Top Goalscorer Otieno Omondi W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopards 41 / 100
Shabana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopards Shabana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leopards Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leopards scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Leopards remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Shabana let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leopards VS Shabana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopards

(Home)
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
Page 1 of 6

Shabana

(Away)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)