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Lernayin Artsakh vs Sardarapat

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sardarapat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lernayin Artsakh
6%
Draws
90%
Sardarapat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sardarapat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sardarapat have won more games recently than Lernayin Artsakh.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sardarapat taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lernayin Artsakh Clean Sheet 10%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lernayin Artsakh Sardarapat
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 20
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.43 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.29 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.29 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 First League
Lernayin Artsakh vs Sardarapat
0:2
Sep 3, 2025 First League
Sardarapat vs Lernayin Artsakh
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lernayin Artsakh 10 / 100
Sardarapat 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lernayin Artsakh Sardarapat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lernayin Artsakh scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Sardarapat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lernayin Artsakh VS Sardarapat
0.43 Goals Scored 2.5
3.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lernayin Artsakh

(Home)
26 May
Urartu 2
3 : 2
Lernayin Artsakh
20 May
Lernayin Artsakh
0 : 2
Van 2
11 May
Bentonit
3 : 0
Lernayin Artsakh
04 May
Lernayin Artsakh
0 : 4
Syunik
25 Apr
Andranik
6 : 0
Lernayin Artsakh
Page 1 of 7

Sardarapat

(Away)
19 Jul
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Jul
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Syunik
25 May
Bentonit
1 : 3
Sardarapat
17 May
Sardarapat
2 : 1
Syunik
11 May
Andranik
1 : 1
Sardarapat
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sardarapat30244281:1876
2BKMA 230225377:3171
3Hayq30222659:2468
4Syunik30221783:2667
5Andranik30213676:3066
6Pyunik Yerevan 2301281043:4344
7Ararat Yerevan 2301221643:5838
8Araks Ararat301141538:5137
9Urartu 230991246:5436
10Noah 230871539:5831
11Bentonit30781533:4929
12Mika30771632:6028
13Ararat-Armenia 230661846:6224
14Van 230661833:5824
15Lernayin Artsakh30722122:7423
16Shirak Gyumri 230462034:8918
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