Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Les Herbiers vs Avranches

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Massabielle, Les Herbiers
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Butrot S.
66' Event
Adekalom N.
70' Event
Martins L.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Les Herbiers and Avranches finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Les Herbiers
30%
Draws
47%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Les Herbiers come out ahead of Avranches on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Avranches's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 15%
Avranches Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Avranches
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
1:2
May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
3:3
Jan 30, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Les Herbiers
3:2
May 17, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
2:0
Aug 16, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Les Herbiers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Butrot S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Adekalom N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 27 / 100
Avranches 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Les Herbiers scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Les Herbiers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Avranches
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Les Herbiers

(Home)
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
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Avranches

(Away)
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayonne 4 4 0 0 7:2 12
2 Angouleme CFC 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Saint-Malo 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
4 Avranches 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
5 Dinan 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
6 Lorient II 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
7 Stade Briochin 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Tarbes 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Granville 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
10 Les Herbiers 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
11 Saumur Olympique 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 Le Poire Sur Vie 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
13 St. Colomban Locmine 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
14 Pontivy 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 Chauray 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)