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Stadium Background

Les Herbiers vs Bayonne

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Massabielle
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Rissonga J.
90' Event
Fiquet A.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Les Herbiers and Bayonne finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Les Herbiers
30%
Draws
34%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Les Herbiers haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Les Herbiers a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 19%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Bayonne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Bayonne
2:0
May 12, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Les Herbiers vs Bayonne
1:1
Dec 23, 2006 National 1 - Group C
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rissonga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fiquet A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bayonne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 36 / 100
Bayonne 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bayonne let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Les Herbiers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Bayonne
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325