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Les Herbiers vs Le Mans II Prediction & H2H Stats

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CFA - Group D 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2012/2013 game between Les Herbiers and Le Mans II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Mans II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Les Herbiers
20%
Draws
40%
Le Mans II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Le Mans II haven't matched Les Herbiers's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Les Herbiers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 20%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Le Mans II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Les Herbiers vs Le Mans II
0:1
Dec 15, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Les Herbiers
1:3
Apr 21, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Les Herbiers vs Le Mans II
1:0
Nov 27, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Les Herbiers
2:1
Feb 6, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Les Herbiers
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 58 / 100
Le Mans II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Le Mans II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Le Mans II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Le Mans II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Les Herbiers

(Home)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
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Le Mans II

(Away)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)