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Letterkenny Rovers vs St Francis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Letterkenny Rovers host St Francis in the National League. This one's hard to separate. Letterkenny Rovers have averaged 1.29 scored and 2 conceded recently, against St Francis's 0.77 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Letterkenny Rovers slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.90 - 1.31) back Letterkenny Rovers to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Letterkenny Rovers
30%
Draws
29%
St Francis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Letterkenny Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Letterkenny Rovers lately — more wins on the board than St Francis.
  • Model gives Letterkenny Rovers a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Letterkenny Rovers Clean Sheet 18%
St Francis Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Letterkenny Rovers St Francis
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 4 3
Draws 3 10
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.29 0.77
Goals Conceded 2 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League
St Francis vs Letterkenny Rovers
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Letterkenny Rovers 49 / 100
St Francis 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Letterkenny Rovers St Francis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Letterkenny Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St Francis conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Letterkenny Rovers's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Letterkenny Rovers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Letterkenny Rovers VS St Francis
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Letterkenny Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Mayo FC
2 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
26 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
6 : 3
TU Dublin
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
Page 1 of 3

St Francis

(Away)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams