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Leuven B vs KRC Harelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven B host KRC Harelbeke in the National Division 1 - VV. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. KRC Harelbeke have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Leuven B have conceded 2.37 and scored 2.17. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.56) point toward KRC Harelbeke. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Leuven B
15%
Draws
7%
KRC Harelbeke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leuven B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Leuven B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leuven B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Leuven B Clean Sheet 15%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven B KRC Harelbeke
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven B 84 / 100
KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven B KRC Harelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leuven B scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

KRC Harelbeke has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Leuven B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: KRC Harelbeke has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven B VS KRC Harelbeke
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven B

(Home)
04 Oct
Knokke
3 : 2
Leuven B
27 Sept
Leuven B
3 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
13 Sept
Leuven B
4 : 3
Zelzate
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
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KRC Harelbeke

(Away)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 7 6 0 1 19:8 18
2 SK Roeselare 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
8 Hoogstraten 7 2 3 2 18:14 9
9 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
11 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 7 0 3 4 6:16 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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