Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leuven B vs Merelbeke

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rogiers M.
71' Event
Antwi M.
75' Event
Kurt M.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Leuven B and Merelbeke finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leuven B
6%
Draws
4%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leuven B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merelbeke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leuven B a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Merelbeke have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Leuven B Clean Sheet 10%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven B Merelbeke
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Leuven B vs Merelbeke
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Leuven B
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Leuven B
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Leuven B vs Merelbeke
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven B Compare

Top Goalscorer Van De Ven C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogiers M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antwi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven B 83 / 100
Merelbeke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven B Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven B's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Merelbeke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Merelbeke registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven B VS Merelbeke
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven B

(Home)
18 Jul
Venlo
2 : 1
Leuven B
26 Apr
Cercle Brugge 2
0 : 4
Leuven B
19 Apr
Leuven B
2 : 0
K. Lyra-Lierse
11 Apr
Hasselt
2 : 1
Leuven B
06 Apr
Leuven B
1 : 3
Merelbeke
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Merelbeke

(Away)
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
19 Apr
Merelbeke
1 : 3
SK Roeselare
11 Apr
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Houtvenne
06 Apr
Leuven B
1 : 3
Merelbeke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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