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Leuven vs Beerschot VA

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven play Beerschot VA in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leuven averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Beerschot VA averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Leuven won 3, Beerschot VA won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 27, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Leuven and 1.81 for Beerschot VA. This points to a Beerschot VA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leuven
21%
Draws
46%
Beerschot VA
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Beerschot VA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Leuven picked up more points recently compared to Beerschot VA.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Leuven Clean Sheet 11%
Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Beerschot VA
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Beerschot VA
2:0
Jul 27, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Leuven
0:0
Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Beerschot VA
1:0
Jul 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Beerschot VA
2:1
Jan 22, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Leuven
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 32 / 100
Beerschot VA 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Beerschot VA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Beerschot VA or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leuven attacking → ← attacking Beerschot VA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Beerschot VA let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leuven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Beerschot VA lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 47
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75