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Leuven vs Francs Borains - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-5. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Leuven at 1.46 goals for, 1.71 against; Francs Borains at 1.89 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Leuven slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2022, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.31, favoring Francs Borains. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Leuven
15%
Draws
64%
Francs Borains
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francs Borains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Francs Borains have won more games recently than Leuven.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Francs Borains taking it.
  • Francs Borains arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leuven, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leuven have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Francs Borains
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2022 Belgian Cup
Francs Borains vs Leuven
0:5
Jan 7, 2011 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Leuven
2:3
Aug 29, 2010 Challenger Pro League
Leuven vs Francs Borains
3:0
Apr 7, 2010 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Leuven
3:1
Sep 26, 2009 Challenger Pro League
Leuven vs Francs Borains
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 14 / 100
Francs Borains 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Francs Borains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francs Borains Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Leuven's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Francs Borains let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Leuven remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Francs Borains
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
Page 1 of 6

Francs Borains

(Away)
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2
Anderlecht U23
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -