Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leuven vs Lierse SK

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Traore A. K.

AI Match Summary

Leuven in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leuven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leuven
30%
Draws
39%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lierse SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lierse SK have won more games recently than Leuven.
  • Leuven are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Lierse SK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Lierse SK
1:0
Oct 27, 2021 Belgian Cup
Lierse SK vs Leuven
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 34 / 100
Lierse SK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lierse SK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leuven went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Lierse SK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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Lierse SK

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
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