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Leuven vs Lierse SK

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven host Lierse SK in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Leuven at 1 goals for, 1.5 against; Lierse SK at 1 for, 0.67 against. Past meetings favor Leuven slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2021, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.83 xG vs 1.25) point toward Leuven. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leuven
6%
Draws
4%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Not much separates Leuven and Lierse SK on recent form.
  • Leuven are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leuven Clean Sheet 19%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Lierse SK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Belgian Cup
Lierse SK vs Leuven
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 85 / 100
Lierse SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Lierse SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lierse SK has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Leuven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Lierse SK
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%