Sport Picks

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Leuven vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Leuven Logo

Leuven

0 - 2
FT
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Maertens M.
46'
Sub
Sayyadmanesh A. In: Saito S.
Out: Sayyadmanesh A.
46'
Sub
Dussenne N. In: Ominami T.
Out: Dussenne N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Leuven
30%
Draws
23%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Westerlo lately — more wins on the board than Leuven.
  • Win probability leans Leuven's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Westerlo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Leuven Clean Sheet 19%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Westerlo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Leuven
3:3
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Leuven
2:0
May 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 42 / 100
Westerlo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Westerlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Westerlo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Westerlo
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1
Leuven
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
18 Jul
Leuven
1 : 0
Lierse SK
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Westerlo

(Away)
08 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 5
Royale Union SG
01 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 2
Samsunspor
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)