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Leuven W vs TSC Backa Topola W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Den Dreef, Heverlee
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Conijnenberg J.
Assist: Gielen S.
35'
Sub
Popovic T. In: Maljkovic M.
Out: Popovic T.
42'
Bosteels A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leuven W
25%
Draws
35%
TSC Backa Topola W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Leuven W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Leuven W have won more games recently than TSC Backa Topola W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Leuven W taking it.
  • Leuven W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leuven W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Leuven W Clean Sheet 68%
TSC Backa Topola W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven W TSC Backa Topola W
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 17 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Leuven W vs TSC Backa Topola W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conijnenberg J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Janssen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

TSC Backa Topola W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven W 77 / 100
TSC Backa Topola W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven W TSC Backa Topola W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

TSC Backa Topola W let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Leuven W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven W VS TSC Backa Topola W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven W

(Home)
04 Oct
Leuven W
0 : 0
RAAL La Louviere W
01 Oct
PSG W
5 : 0
Leuven W
26 Sept
Leuven W
1 : 1
Club Brugge W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Standard Liege W
0 : 5
Leuven W
Page 1 of 6

TSC Backa Topola W

(Away)
08 Aug
FC Kharkiv W
3 : 2
TSC Backa Topola W
05 Aug
Leuven W
4 : 0
TSC Backa Topola W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Austria Vienna W 3
Hajduk Split W 2
ZNK Mura W 1
Farul Constanta W 3
Brann W 5
Mitrovica W 0
Ferencvaros W 2
PAOK W 3
Din. Minsk W 0
Servette W 3
Breidablik W 1
Aktobe W 2
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 2
PSV W 3
Racing Luxembourg W 0
HJK W 2
FC Kharkiv W 1
Fenerbahce W 2
Leuven W 4
TSC Backa Topola W 0
Vllaznia W 1
Myjava W 2
Apollon Limassol W 3
Czarni Sosnowiec W 4
Gintra Universitetas W 1
Hearts W 2
Koge W 4
Riga FC W 1
Ajax W 2
Brondby W 0
Slavia Prague W 1
Rangers W 2
Juventus W 2
Torreense W 1
Hammarby W 4
Apolonia Fier W 0
Valerenga W 0
Malmo FF W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 8
Omonia W 0
Sporting W 5
SeaSters Odesa W 0
St. Polten W 4
Young Boys W 3
Final
Austria Vienna W 5
Farul Constanta W 0
Brann W 3
PAOK W 2
Servette W 4
Aktobe W 0
PSV W 3
HJK W 1
Fenerbahce W 1
Leuven W 2
Myjava W 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W 4
Hearts W 1
Koge W 2
Ajax W 2
Rangers W 1
Juventus W 3
Hammarby W 1
Malmo FF W 0
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2
Sporting W 1
St. Polten W 2