Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Caernarfon

Europe Europe

Conference League A. Le Coq Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Otoo E.
Assist: Saliste J.
20' Event
Wendell
Assist: Tambedou B.
33' Event
Joao Pedro
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Levadia and Caernarfon finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia
6%
Draws
4%
Caernarfon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Caernarfon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Levadia vs Caernarfon
5:0
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
Caernarfon vs Levadia
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Otoo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Caernarfon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Caernarfon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Caernarfon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Caernarfon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Levadia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Caernarfon
3.5 Goals Scored 1.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
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Hibernian-
Paks-
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TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
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Koper-
Partizan-
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UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
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FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
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Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
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Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
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Austria Vienna-
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Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
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Dila Gori3
Virtus2
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Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
Valur-
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Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
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Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
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Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
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Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
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CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
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Beitar Jerusalem-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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