Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Levadia U21 Logo

Levadia U21

2 - 2
FT
Elva Logo

Elva

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Burov K.
Assist: Mbuthia J.
58' Event
Gussev M.
88' Event
Svedovski A.
Assist: Domov P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Levadia U21 and Elva finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Levadia U21
20%
Draws
47%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Elva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Levadia U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Elva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
2:2
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
3:2
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gussev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Svedovski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Burov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbuthia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 84 / 100
Elva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Elva has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Levadia U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Elva
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)