Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia U21 host Elva in the Esiliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Levadia U21 have averaged 2.63 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Elva's 2 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Elva slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.69, favoring Elva. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Levadia U21
28%
Draws
50%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Elva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Elva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Elva
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
3:2
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 22 / 100
Elva 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Elva has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Levadia U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Elva
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
18 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 2
Levadia U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0
FC Tallinn
18 Jun
Levadia U21
1 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
16 Jul
Viimsi JK
1 : 3
Elva
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
30 Jun
Jarva-Jaani
0 : 4
Elva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Flora Tallinn U2120104651:3834
3Viimsi JK1995531:1932
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2120541130:5119
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)