Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Lehtmets G.
18' Event
Krasnov I.
49' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Tammik T.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Levadia U21 and Nomme Utd U21 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia U21
6%
Draws
4%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia U21 come out ahead of Nomme Utd U21 on wins alone.
  • Levadia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:2
Mar 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambe M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Muravlyov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasnov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rootsma O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 84 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia U21 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Nomme Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Levadia U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
18 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 2
Levadia U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0
FC Tallinn
18 Jun
Levadia U21
1 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
30 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
3 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
21 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 2
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)