Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Lehtmets G.
18' Event
Krasnov I.
49' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Tammik T.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Levadia U21 and Nomme Utd U21 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Levadia U21
15%
Draws
39%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia U21 come out ahead of Nomme Utd U21 on wins alone.
  • Levadia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Levadia U21
1:2
May 25, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:2
Mar 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambe M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Muravlyov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasnov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rootsma O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 84 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Nomme Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Levadia U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Nomme Utd U21
2 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
24 Aug
Viimsi JK
4 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)