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Levadia U21 vs Rakvere

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2019 Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lehter D.
26'
Kuokkanen M.
26' Event
Komlov A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2019 game between Levadia U21 and Rakvere finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Levadia U21
15%
Draws
48%
Rakvere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia U21 come out ahead of Rakvere on wins alone.
  • Model gives Levadia U21 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Rakvere
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 2.06 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2019 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Rakvere
4:0
Aug 29, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Levadia U21
4:2
Jun 28, 2019 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Rakvere
3:3
Mar 10, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Levadia U21
1:0
Nov 11, 2018 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Rakvere
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehter D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oigus K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Rakvere Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 58 / 100
Rakvere 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Rakvere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Rakvere has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Levadia U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
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Rakvere

(Away)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legion 36 29 4 3 127:35 91
2 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 7 7 85:37 73
3 Parnu JK Vaprus 36 21 4 11 73:48 67
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 18 4 14 59:55 58
5 Elva 36 18 2 16 67:63 56
6 Levadia U21 36 16 5 15 80:65 53
7 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 36 12 4 20 51:82 40
8 Rakvere 36 8 4 24 35:98 28
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 8 4 24 38:82 28
10 Tartu JK Welco 36 6 6 24 39:89 24
Relegation - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2019 (Relegation)