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Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Svedovski A.
Assist: Kompus K.
45' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Liiv H.
57'
Sal-Al-Saller D.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Levadia U21 and Tallinna Kalev finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Levadia U21
30%
Draws
16%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia U21 come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Levadia U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
May 31, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:4
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Svedovski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sambe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihhailov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilves R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tallinna Kalev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Levadia U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Tallinna Kalev
2.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)