Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Petrunin D.
Own Goal
27' Event
Sal-Al-Saller D.
60' Event
Lehtmets G.

AI Match Summary

Levadia U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Levadia U21
20%
Draws
40%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
  • Tallinna Kalev are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.04 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.86 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
May 31, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:4
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmets G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Sal-Al-Saller D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilves R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia U21 scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Levadia U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Tallinna Kalev
2.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2
Levadia U21
01 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 2
Elva
18 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 2
Levadia U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
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Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
11 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
8 : 0
Tartu Kalev
08 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
03 Aug
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
23 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U19
0 : 8
Tallinna Kalev
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 22 14 3 5 64:30 45
2 Viimsi JK 22 11 5 6 37:22 38
3 Flora Tallinn U21 22 11 4 7 54:39 37
4 Elva 22 10 4 8 41:36 34
5 Levadia U21 22 10 1 11 43:38 31
6 Tallinna Kalev 22 8 5 9 43:42 29
7 Maardu Linnameeskond 22 8 5 9 35:50 29
8 FC Tallinn 22 6 6 10 29:50 24
9 Nomme Utd U21 22 6 5 11 39:51 23
10 Kalju U21 22 5 4 13 31:58 19
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)