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Stadium Background

Levadia vs Kalju

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Levadia Logo

Levadia

1 - 1
FT
Kalju Logo

Kalju

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Lotar Eyang E. E.
42'
Kaua Davi
42'
Andreev N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Kalju finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia
6%
Draws
4%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kalju haven't matched Levadia's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Levadia Clean Sheet 19%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Kalju
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kalju
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kalju
3:1
May 24, 2025 Estonian Cup
Kalju vs Levadia
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambedou B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarassenkov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
Kalju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kalju's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Levadia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Kalju
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
02 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Levadia
30 Jul
Levadia
1 : 3
IFK Goteborg
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

Kalju

(Away)
02 Aug
Kalju
5 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 20 14 5 1 50:17 47
2 Flora 20 13 0 7 40:21 39
3 Kalju 21 11 5 5 38:17 38
4 Paide Linnameeskond 21 10 5 6 33:28 35
5 Parnu JK Vaprus 21 8 3 10 29:39 27
6 Tammeka Tartu 19 8 2 9 22:31 26
7 Nomme Utd 21 8 1 12 40:48 25
8 Harju JK Laagri 21 8 1 12 30:35 25
9 Kuressaare 21 5 3 13 19:34 18
10 Narva 21 5 1 15 17:48 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)