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Levadia vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia host Kalju in the Meistriliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Levadia have averaged 3.03 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Kalju's 1.9 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Levadia have won 2 to Kalju's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.44 - 0.81) back Levadia to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Levadia
15%
Draws
27%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Kalju on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Levadia Clean Sheet 20%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Kalju
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 25 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 3.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
2:3
Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kalju
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kalju
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 76 / 100
Kalju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Levadia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kalju has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Kalju
3.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
27 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
24 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3
Levadia
11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
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Kalju

(Away)
28 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Kalju
25 Oct
Kalju
2 : 1
Flora
17 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
Kalju
13 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Kalju
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 34 27 6 1 91:24 87
2 Paide Linnameeskond 34 18 6 10 53:41 60
3 Flora 34 19 1 14 64:49 58
4 Kalju 34 17 6 11 58:34 57
5 Tammeka Tartu 34 16 2 16 48:54 50
6 Harju JK Laagri 34 15 2 17 49:50 47
7 Nomme Utd 34 12 1 21 55:76 37
8 Parnu JK Vaprus 34 10 7 17 46:68 37
9 Kuressaare 34 10 6 18 35:53 36
10 Narva 34 5 5 24 26:76 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)