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Levadia vs Narva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Levadia Logo

Levadia

4 - 0
FT
Narva Logo

Narva

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ainsalu M.
Assist: Lehtmets G.
29'
Sub
Ainsalu M. In: Skvortsov M.
Out: Ainsalu M.
46'
Sub
Doke J. In: Gero A.
Out: Doke J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Narva finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Levadia
15%
Draws
5%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Narva
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 25 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 3.1 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:1
Aug 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
7:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Narva
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ainsalu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Narva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Levadia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Narva has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Narva
3.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
31 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 4
Levadia
27 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
24 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3
Levadia
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Narva

(Away)
27 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Nomme Utd
23 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
5 : 1
Narva
18 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Narva
14 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Kuressaare
10 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Narva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 35 28 6 1 95:27 90
2 Paide Linnameeskond 35 19 6 10 54:41 63
3 Flora 34 19 1 14 64:49 58
4 Kalju 34 17 6 11 58:34 57
5 Tammeka Tartu 35 17 2 16 50:55 53
6 Harju JK Laagri 35 15 2 18 50:52 47
7 Nomme Utd 35 12 1 22 58:80 37
8 Parnu JK Vaprus 35 10 7 18 46:69 37
9 Kuressaare 34 10 6 18 35:53 36
10 Narva 34 5 5 24 26:76 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)