Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Narva

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ainsalu M.
Assist: Lehtmets G.
29'
Sub
Ainsalu M. In: Skvortsov M.
Out: Ainsalu M.
46'
Sub
Doke J. In: Gero A.
Out: Doke J.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Narva finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Levadia
15%
Draws
27%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Levadia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Narva
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 2 18
Goals Scored 2.79 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
4:0
Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
7:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Narva
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ainsalu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Narva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Levadia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Narva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Narva
3 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Aug
Levadia
4 : 0
Narva
16 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2
Levadia
09 Aug
Levadia
5 : 0
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6

Narva

(Away)
26 Aug
Narva
2 : 0
Kalju
21 Aug
Levadia
4 : 0
Narva
16 Aug
Narva
1 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
11 Aug
Narva
8 : 0
Marjamaa Kompanii
08 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Kalju
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 23 17 5 1 61:18 56
2 Kalju 24 13 5 6 43:19 44
3 Flora 23 14 0 9 45:28 42
4 Paide Linnameeskond 23 11 6 6 38:30 39
5 Tammeka Tartu 22 11 2 9 27:32 35
6 Harju JK Laagri 25 10 1 14 36:41 31
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 24 8 4 12 33:46 28
8 Nomme Utd 25 8 1 16 42:60 25
9 Kuressaare 25 7 4 14 27:41 25
10 Narva 24 5 2 17 18:55 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)