Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Narva

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wendell
Assist: Roosnupp M.
24' Event
Roosnupp M.
Assist: Nwankwo A.
30'
Sub
Burjanadze S. In: Kondrattsev S.
Out: Burjanadze S.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Narva finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia
6%
Draws
4%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Narva on wins alone.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Narva
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
7:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Narva
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Levadia
0:4
Aug 29, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Narva
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tambedou B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Narva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Narva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Narva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Levadia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Narva
2.63 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
30 Jul
Levadia
1 : 3
IFK Goteborg
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

Narva

(Away)
31 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 2
Narva
22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0
Narva
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 19 14 4 1 49:16 46
2 Flora 19 12 0 7 39:21 36
3 Kalju 20 10 5 5 33:16 35
4 Paide Linnameeskond 20 9 5 6 32:28 32
5 Parnu JK Vaprus 20 8 2 10 28:38 26
6 Tammeka Tartu 18 8 2 8 21:26 26
7 Nomme Utd 21 8 1 12 40:48 25
8 Harju JK Laagri 20 8 1 11 30:34 25
9 Kuressaare 20 5 3 12 19:33 18
10 Narva 21 5 1 15 17:48 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)