Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kutateladze N.
22' Event
Badamosi A.
53' Event
Kutateladze N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Levadia
15%
Draws
32%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Paide Linnameeskond on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Levadia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Levadia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Levadia Clean Sheet 20%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 25 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 3.32 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
0:2
Aug 26, 2026 Estonian Cup
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
4:1
May 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutateladze N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirss R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Badamosi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Levadia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Paide Linnameeskond
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Aug
Levadia
4 : 0
Narva
Page 1 of 7

Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
23 Aug
Paide Linnameeskond
4 : 1
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva -
Tallinna Kalev -
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare -
Saku Sporting -
Tammeka Tartu -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri -
Levadia -
Keila JK -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -