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Levadia vs Viljandi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Morozov I.
46'
Sub
Kaljumae M. In: Taar A.
Out: Kaljumae M.
46'
Sub
Teever I. In: Hunt R.
Out: Teever I.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga 2012 game between Levadia and Viljandi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Levadia
20%
Draws
19%
Viljandi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Viljandi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Levadia a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Levadia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Viljandi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Viljandi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 3.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2012 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Viljandi
2:1
Aug 4, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Levadia
0:5
May 19, 2012 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Viljandi
2:0
Apr 7, 2012 Meistriliiga
Viljandi vs Levadia
0:3
Sep 27, 2011 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Viljandi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Morozov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Subbotin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Viljandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Leimann J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Viljandi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Viljandi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Viljandi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Levadia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

Viljandi

(Away)
16 Apr
Tammeka Tartu
:
Viljandi
03 Nov
Viljandi
0 : 5
Sillamae Kalev
27 Oct
Kuressaare
3 : 3
Viljandi
24 Oct
Viljandi
3 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
20 Oct
Viljandi
2 : 5
Narva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalju 36 29 5 2 106:17 92
2 Levadia 36 25 8 3 85:22 83
3 Flora 36 26 3 7 87:24 81
4 Narva 36 16 7 13 52:44 55
5 Sillamae Kalev 36 15 10 11 51:43 55
6 Paide Linnameeskond 36 11 9 16 34:52 42
7 Kuressaare 36 5 11 20 31:80 26
8 Viljandi 36 6 8 22 33:88 26
9 Tallinna Kalev 36 4 9 23 27:87 21
10 Tammeka Tartu 36 4 8 24 30:79 20
Relegation - Meistriliiga 2012 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)