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Levski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levski Karlovo host Spartak Plovdiv in the Third League - South-East. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Spartak Plovdiv have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Levski Karlovo have conceded 2.06 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Levski Karlovo have won 2 to Spartak Plovdiv's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 2.38) point toward Spartak Plovdiv. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Levski Karlovo
15%
Draws
68%
Spartak Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Karlovo Spartak Plovdiv
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.42 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo
1:3
Oct 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo
5:0
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Karlovo 10 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Karlovo Spartak Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Karlovo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Levski Karlovo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levski Karlovo VS Spartak Plovdiv
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Karlovo

(Home)
10 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
3 : 0
Levski Karlovo
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
OFC Haskovo
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
Page 1 of 7

Spartak Plovdiv

(Away)
10 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Dimitrovgrad
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 9 9 0 0 28:8 27
2 Maritsa Milevo 10 8 0 2 25:11 24
3 Spartak Plovdiv 9 8 0 1 22:10 24
4 OFC Haskovo 9 5 3 1 16:7 18
5 Yambol 1915 9 5 2 2 27:12 17
6 Gigant Saedinenie 9 5 1 3 20:14 16
7 Neftochimic Burgas 9 5 1 3 18:13 16
8 Rodopa Smolyan 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
9 Sozopol 10 4 1 5 20:19 13
10 Rozova Dolina 10 2 6 2 15:16 12
11 Botev II 9 2 4 3 14:16 10
12 Zagorets 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
13 Dimitrovgrad 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 9 2 1 6 10:24 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 10:25 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 9 1 3 5 16:27 6
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
18 Levski Karlovo 9 1 0 8 5:22 3
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)