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Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Super Cup Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Grujic M.
40' Event
Araujo S.
45'
Almeida D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Levski Sofia
30%
Draws
33%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Levski Sofia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Levski Sofia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 13%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.04 2
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Super Cup
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
2:4
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Sofia 40 / 100
CSKA Sofia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levski Sofia scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Levski Sofia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Levski Sofia VS CSKA Sofia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Sofia

(Home)
27 Oct
Arda
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
22 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
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CSKA Sofia

(Away)
26 Oct
CSKA Sofia
2 : 0
Ludogorets
22 Oct
Nordsjaelland
2 : 2
CSKA Sofia
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2
Monaco
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Levski Sofia 2
CSKA Sofia 4