Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Super Cup Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Grujic M.
40' Event
Araujo S.
45'
Almeida D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Levski Sofia
15%
Draws
31%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Levski Sofia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Levski Sofia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 21 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Super Cup
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
2:4
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:3
Apr 13, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Sofia 41 / 100
CSKA Sofia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levski Sofia scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

CSKA Sofia let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Levski Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levski Sofia VS CSKA Sofia
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Sofia

(Home)
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
26 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Levski Sofia
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
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CSKA Sofia

(Away)
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0 : 2
OFI Crete
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0
CSKA Sofia
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0
Botev Vratsa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Levski Sofia -
CSKA Sofia -