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Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia in the Europa League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Levski Sofia have averaged 2 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Jagiellonia's 1.61 scored and 1.14 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.94, favoring Levski Sofia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Levski Sofia
15%
Draws
32%
Jagiellonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Levski Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Levski Sofia a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Sofia Jagiellonia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Sofia 76 / 100
Jagiellonia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Sofia Jagiellonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levski Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Sofia found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Jagiellonia let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Levski Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Jagiellonia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levski Sofia VS Jagiellonia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Sofia

(Home)
22 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia

(Away)
25 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Wisla Plock
22 Oct
Jagiellonia
0 : 3
Anderlecht
18 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Jagiellonia
15 Oct
Jagiellonia
3 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
3 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
4 Ferencvaros 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Juventus 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11 Omonia 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Lyon 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
13 Rennes 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
14 Real Sociedad 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17 Levski Sofia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Din. Zagreb 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19 Sturm Graz 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21 Salzburg 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24 AC Milan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25 Celta Vigo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28 Torreense 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29 Celje 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30 H. Beer Sheva 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33 Plzen 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34 Marseille 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35 Celtic 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)