Sport Picks
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia 
Match Events
8'
8'
Oko-Flex A.
15'
15'
Perea J.
46'
46'
Sub
Marinov T. In: Sousa R.
Out: Marinov T.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Sofia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Levski Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Levski Sofia come out ahead of Spartak Varna on wins alone.
- Model gives Levski Sofia a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Levski Sofia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Levski Sofia | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
6:0
Dec 7, 2025 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Levski Sofia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Levski Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Oko-Flex A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Perea J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Spartak Varna Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Levski Sofia 77 / 100
Spartak Varna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Levski Sofia Spartak Varna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Levski Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Levski Sofia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Spartak Varna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Levski Sofia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Levski Sofia VS Spartak Varna
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Levski Sofia
(Home) 17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1 Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0 Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2 Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1 Salzburg
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
18 Aug
Levski Sofia
0 : 0 AEK
Page 1 of 4
Spartak Varna
(Away) 20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2 Spartak Varna
26 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 3 Spartak Varna
04 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0 Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
