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Stadium Background

Lewes vs Dorking Wanderers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Barrett J.
62' Event
Bassett D.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Alcock T.

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorking Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lewes
20%
Draws
33%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dorking Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than Lewes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Dorking Wanderers have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lewes Clean Sheet 20%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Lewes vs Dorking Wanderers
1:2
Feb 16, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Dorking Wanderers
0:2
Aug 18, 2018 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dorking Wanderers vs Lewes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrett J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alcock T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 31 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Dorking Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Lewes found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Lewes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Dorking Wanderers
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
29 Aug
Aveley
0 : 2
Lewes
22 Aug
Lewes
3 : 1
Whyteleafe
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
11 Aug
Whitehawk
0 : 0
Lewes
08 Aug
Lewes
0 : 4
Enfield Town
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Dorking Wanderers

(Away)
29 Aug
Walton & Hersham
1 : 4
Dorking Wanderers
22 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 3
Maidstone
18 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
15 Aug
Maidenhead
0 : 0
Dorking Wanderers
08 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
0 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
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