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Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mills H.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Hughes C.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Lewes and Maldon & Tiptree finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lewes
20%
Draws
7%
Maldon & Tiptree
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Lewes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lewes a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lewes Clean Sheet 20%
Maldon & Tiptree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Maldon & Tiptree
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Maldon & Tiptree
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Maldon & Tiptree Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 67 / 100
Maldon & Tiptree 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Maldon & Tiptree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maldon & Tiptree's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lewes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Maldon & Tiptree
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
17 Oct
Lewes
1 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
13 Oct
Three Bridges
1 : 2
Lewes
10 Oct
Cray Wanderers
1 : 2
Lewes
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

Maldon & Tiptree

(Away)
17 Oct
Lewes
1 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
10 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 2
Whyteleafe
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
Welling
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
29 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 5
Cray Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 12 8 0 4 19:14 24
5 Carshalton 14 7 1 6 21:24 22
6 Ramsgate 12 6 1 5 27:17 19
7 Eastbourne Borough 10 6 1 3 19:11 19
8 Burgess Hill 11 4 5 2 20:15 17
9 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
10 Dulwich Hamlet 11 5 2 4 20:16 17
11 Wingate & Finchley 11 5 2 4 20:21 17
12 Chatham 10 5 0 5 19:14 15
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 13 4 3 6 20:22 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 12 4 2 6 19:19 14
17 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
18 Maldon & Tiptree 13 3 1 9 16:34 10
19 Brentwood 10 3 0 7 15:19 9
20 Three Bridges 12 2 3 7 23:34 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 11 1 1 9 9:30 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)