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Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lewes host Wingate & Finchley in the Isthmian League Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Wingate & Finchley have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Lewes have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Wingate & Finchley slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Wingate & Finchley. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lewes
15%
Draws
40%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Wingate & Finchley average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Lewes's 1.31.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lewes Clean Sheet 16%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 31 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Wingate & Finchley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Wingate & Finchley let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lewes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Wingate & Finchley
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
17 Oct
Lewes
1 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
13 Oct
Three Bridges
1 : 2
Lewes
10 Oct
Cray Wanderers
1 : 2
Lewes
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 1
Stanway Rovers
13 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 0
Ramsgate
10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 13 8 0 5 19:17 24
5 Ramsgate 13 7 1 5 29:17 22
6 Eastbourne Borough 11 7 1 3 21:11 22
7 Carshalton 15 7 1 7 23:28 22
8 Burgess Hill 12 5 5 2 23:17 20
9 Wingate & Finchley 12 6 2 4 24:23 20
10 Chatham 11 6 0 5 23:14 18
11 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
12 Dulwich Hamlet 12 5 2 5 20:20 17
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 14 4 3 7 22:25 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 11 4 0 7 18:19 12
20 Three Bridges 13 2 3 8 23:36 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 12 1 1 10 9:32 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)