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Lewes W vs Bournemouth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Women's National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lewes W
30%
Draws
47%
Bournemouth W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lewes W haven't matched Bournemouth W's recent run of results.
  • Bournemouth W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 12%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes W Bournemouth W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2 2.77
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Bournemouth W
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Bournemouth W
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs Lewes W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes W 10 / 100
Bournemouth W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes W Bournemouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Bournemouth W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Lewes W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes W VS Bournemouth W
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes W

(Home)
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
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Bournemouth W

(Away)
04 Oct
Bournemouth W
0 : 1
Oxford Utd W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
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