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Lewes W vs Cheltenham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South game between Lewes W and Cheltenham W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lewes W
35%
Draws
19%
Cheltenham W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lewes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lewes W come out ahead of Cheltenham W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lewes W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 14%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes W Cheltenham W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Cheltenham W
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Cheltenham W
6:0
Nov 23, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Cheltenham W vs Lewes W
0:4
Nov 2, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Lewes W
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Lewes W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes W 84 / 100
Cheltenham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes W Cheltenham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Lewes W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lewes W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lewes W VS Cheltenham W
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes W

(Home)
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
Page 1 of 6

Cheltenham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cheltenham W
2 : 2
Hashtag W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
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