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Lewes W vs Exeter W

England England

Women's National League South 2025/2026 The Dripping Pan, Lewes
Lewes W Logo

Lewes W

4 - 0
FT
Exeter W Logo

Exeter W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South 2025/2026 game between Lewes W and Exeter W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lewes W
20%
Draws
57%
Exeter W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Exeter W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lewes W come out ahead of Exeter W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Exeter W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 16%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes W Exeter W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Lewes W
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Exeter W
4:0
Aug 24, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Lewes W
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Lewes W
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Exeter W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes W 28 / 100
Exeter W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes W Exeter W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Lewes W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Exeter W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lewes W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes W VS Exeter W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes W

(Home)
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
16 Aug
Lewes W
1 : 1
Hashtag W
26 Apr
Oxford Utd W
2 : 0
Lewes W
19 Apr
Lewes W
2 : 0
Bournemouth W
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Exeter W

(Away)
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
02 Aug
Exeter W
2 : 1
Cardiff City W
26 Apr
Exeter W
2 : 1
Gwalia United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford W 22 17 2 3 80:24 53
2 Plymouth W 22 16 4 2 61:11 52
3 Bournemouth W 22 14 4 4 61:20 46
4 Oxford Utd W 22 12 3 7 44:27 39
5 Lewes W 22 12 1 9 46:27 37
6 Real Bedford W 22 9 3 10 42:34 30
7 Exeter W 22 9 3 10 39:35 30
8 Cheltenham W 22 7 3 12 31:46 24
9 Hashtag W 22 6 5 11 34:38 23
10 AFC Wimbledon W 22 6 4 12 30:48 22
11 Gwalia United W 22 6 4 12 28:46 22
12 Billericay W 22 0 0 22 5:145 0
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