Sport Picks
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
USA
USL Championship Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY 
Match Events
45'
45'
Hackshaw N.
50'
50'
Goodrum P.
Assist: Nick Firmino
54'
54'
Goodrum P.
AI Match Summary
Lexington in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lexington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lexington lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
- Lexington are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lexington have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lexington Clean Sheet 20%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lexington | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Lexington
1:4
Jul 22, 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Lexington
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lexington Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodrum P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Oakland Roots Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lexington 40 / 100
Oakland Roots 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lexington Oakland Roots
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lexington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oakland Roots's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Lexington found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Lexington went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lexington VS Oakland Roots
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lexington
(Home) 13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0 Phoenix Rising
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
Oakland Roots
(Away) 13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 26:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 32:38 | 20 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:45 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 37:27 | 42 |
| 3 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:20 | 36 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
