Sport Picks
Lexington vs Phoenix Rising
USA
USL Championship Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY 
AI Match Summary
Lexington host Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Lexington have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Phoenix Rising's 1.38 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Lexington slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.38, favoring Lexington. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Phoenix Rising haven't matched Lexington's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lexington a 36% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lexington | Phoenix Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lexington scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Phoenix Rising let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Lexington stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lexington
(Home)Phoenix Rising
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
