Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lexington vs San Antonio FC

USA USA

USL Championship Toyota Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Cuello E.
46'
Sub
Midence A. In: Adedokun M.
Out: Midence A.
48' Event
Ferri B.
Assist: Epps M.

AI Match Summary

Lexington in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lexington
39%
Draws
30%
San Antonio FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • San Antonio FC have won more games recently than Lexington.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lexington Clean Sheet 13%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington San Antonio FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs San Antonio FC
2:0
Mar 29, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Lexington
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Lexington
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs San Antonio FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lexington Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues B. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

San Antonio FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington 31 / 100
San Antonio FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington San Antonio FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lexington scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Antonio FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Lexington has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lexington VS San Antonio FC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1656520:2421
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4FC Tulsa1464418:1622
5Oakland Roots1556424:2221
6Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
7Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
8Colorado Springs1454524:2219
9El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
10Lexington1453622:2018
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515