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Lexington W vs Brooklyn W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Barry C.
61' Event
Mccain A.
Assist: Pantuso A.
65'
Sub
Murray K. In: White H.
Out: Murray K.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women game between Lexington W and Brooklyn W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lexington W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lexington W
15%
Draws
39%
Brooklyn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lexington W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lexington W come out ahead of Brooklyn W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lexington W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lexington W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lexington W Clean Sheet 68%
Brooklyn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington W Brooklyn W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Brooklyn W
3:0
May 10, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Brooklyn W
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Lexington W
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Lexington W
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Brooklyn W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lexington W Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mccain A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Brooklyn W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington W 77 / 100
Brooklyn W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington W Brooklyn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brooklyn W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lexington W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lexington W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lexington W VS Brooklyn W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
Page 1 of 7

Brooklyn W

(Away)
02 Oct
Brooklyn W
1 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
19 Sept
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
13 Sept
Brooklyn W
3 : 2
Sporting Jax W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0
Brooklyn W
28 Aug
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 0
Brooklyn W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)