Sport Picks
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
USA
USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Toyota Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Lexington W host Tampa Bay Sun W in the USL Super League Women 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lexington W at 1.63 goals for, 0.5 against; Tampa Bay Sun W at 1 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Lexington W have won 2 to Tampa Bay Sun W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.75, favoring Lexington W. Lexington W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lexington W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tampa Bay Sun W.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Lexington W.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Super League Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lexington W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lexington W Compare
Tampa Bay Sun W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lexington W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Tampa Bay Sun W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Lexington W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Tampa Bay Sun W lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington W | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 50:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting Jax W | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 54:32 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:28 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 31:44 | 26 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | 24 |
| 9 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:62 | 23 |