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Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

EFL Trophy Brisbane Road, London
Leyton Orient Logo

Leyton Orient

Tue, Aug 18, 2026
2 - 1
06:00 PM
AFC Wimbledon Logo

AFC Wimbledon

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Stockley J.
Assist: Yiadom A.
46'
Sub
Archibald T. In: Springett T.
Out: Archibald T.
46'
Sub
Yiadom A. In: Ogundere I.
Out: Yiadom A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leyton Orient
30%
Draws
47%
AFC Wimbledon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Wimbledon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leyton Orient lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on AFC Wimbledon taking it.
  • Leyton Orient have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leyton Orient, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leyton Orient AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.66 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 EFL Trophy
Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Mar 17, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient
2:4
Jan 1, 2026 League One
Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
1:3
Feb 4, 2023 League Two
Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
1:0
Nov 8, 2022 League Two
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leyton Orient Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Stockley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leyton Orient 24 / 100
AFC Wimbledon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leyton Orient AFC Wimbledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leyton Orient scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

AFC Wimbledon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Leyton Orient has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leyton Orient VS AFC Wimbledon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leyton Orient

(Home)
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2
Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3
Wycombe
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3
Bradford City
05 Sept
Luton
1 : 1
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 6

AFC Wimbledon

(Away)
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0
Doncaster
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2
AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Accrington 1 1 0 0 3:3 2
3 Sunderland U21 1 0 0 1 3:3 1
4 Salford 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
2 Bradford City 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
3 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Burton 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
4 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Liverpool U21 1 1 0 0 3:3 2
3 Rochdale 1 0 0 1 3:3 1
4 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Colchester 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Ipswich U21 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Newport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
4 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Brentford U21 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Bromley 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)