Sport Picks
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Prediction & H2H Stats
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Brisbane Road, London 
Match Events
39'
39'
Koroma J.
46'
46'
Sub
Craig M. In: Wellens C.
Out: Craig M.
46'
46'
Sub
Beckles O. In: Simpson J.
Out: Beckles O.
AI Match Summary
Plymouth in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Plymouth have won more games recently than Leyton Orient.
- Win probability leans Plymouth's way, sitting at 50%.
- Plymouth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Plymouth, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 10%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2026 League One
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
1:3
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs Leyton Orient
0:1
Aug 8, 2023 EFL Cup
Plymouth vs Leyton Orient
2:0
Sep 15, 2020 EFL Cup
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leyton Orient Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Plymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tolaj L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leyton Orient 22 / 100
Plymouth 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leyton Orient Plymouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leyton Orient's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Plymouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Leyton Orient went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leyton Orient VS Plymouth
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leyton Orient
(Home) 19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3 Wycombe
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
05 Sept
Luton
1 : 1 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3 Wycombe
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
29 Aug
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Plymouth
(Away) 26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0 Plymouth
22 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 1 Plymouth
04 Aug
Tavistock
1 : 4 Plymouth
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
