Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Li Tixiang
19'
Felipe
21' Event
Xiang Yuwang

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Liaoning Tieren and Chongqing Tonglianglong finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liaoning Tieren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Liaoning Tieren
33%
Draws
27%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Liaoning Tieren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chongqing Tonglianglong come out ahead of Liaoning Tieren on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Liaoning Tieren taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 68%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
4:2
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiang Yuwang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 50 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Chongqing Tonglianglong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Liaoning Tieren scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Liaoning Tieren remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chongqing Tonglianglong has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liaoning Tieren

(Home)
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 May
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 2
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 6

Chongqing Tonglianglong

(Away)
21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1
Zhejiang Professional
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)