Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liaoning Tieren vs Foshan Nanshi

China China

League One 2025 Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Yang Jian In: Kunimoto T.
Out: Yang Jian
19'
Sub
Mbenza G. In: Gui Zihan
Out: Mbenza G.
29'
Chen Guokang

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025 game between Liaoning Tieren and Foshan Nanshi finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liaoning Tieren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Liaoning Tieren
6%
Draws
4%
Foshan Nanshi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Liaoning Tieren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Liaoning Tieren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 68%
Foshan Nanshi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Foshan Nanshi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Foshan Nanshi
5:0
Jul 6, 2025 League One
Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Tieren
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Tieren
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Foshan Nanshi
0:1
Aug 13, 2023 League One
Foshan Nanshi vs Liaoning Tieren
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kunimoto T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Foshan Nanshi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 95 / 100
Foshan Nanshi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Foshan Nanshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foshan Nanshi let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Foshan Nanshi has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Liaoning Tieren scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Foshan Nanshi
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liaoning Tieren

(Home)
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 May
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 2
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 6

Foshan Nanshi

(Away)
17 Jul
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 2
Nantong Zhiyun
13 Jul
Ningbo Professional
1 : 0
Foshan Nanshi
05 Jul
Nanjing City
3 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
27 Jun
Foshan Nanshi
0 : 2
Yanbian Longding
14 Jun
Foshan Nanshi
0 : 5
Shaanxi Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Relegation - League Two (Main)