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Liaoning Tieren vs Nantong Zhiyun

China China

League One 2025 Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Liu Weicheng In: Jia Boyan
Out: Liu Weicheng
46'
Sub
Liu Ye In: Yin Jiaxi
Out: Liu Ye
48' Event
Kunimoto T.
Assist: Gao Jiarun

AI Match Summary

Liaoning Tieren in this League One 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liaoning Tieren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Liaoning Tieren
39%
Draws
30%
Nantong Zhiyun
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nantong Zhiyun lately — more wins on the board than Liaoning Tieren.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 20%
Nantong Zhiyun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Nantong Zhiyun
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Nantong Zhiyun
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 League One
Nantong Zhiyun vs Liaoning Tieren
2:2
Aug 14, 2022 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Nantong Zhiyun
0:3
Jul 26, 2022 League One
Nantong Zhiyun vs Liaoning Tieren
4:0
Dec 11, 2021 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Nantong Zhiyun
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Kunimoto T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nantong Zhiyun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 32 / 100
Nantong Zhiyun 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Nantong Zhiyun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liaoning Tieren scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Liaoning Tieren has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nantong Zhiyun has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Nantong Zhiyun
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013