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Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
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Match Events

23'
Sub
Li Haoran In: Chen Binbin
Out: Li Haoran
29'
Yakubu A.
31'
Mbenza G.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Liaoning Tieren and Qingdao West Coast finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qingdao West Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Liaoning Tieren
35%
Draws
57%
Qingdao West Coast
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Qingdao West Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Qingdao West Coast carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qingdao West Coast are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Qingdao West Coast have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 15%
Qingdao West Coast Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Qingdao West Coast
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 14
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.39 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Qingdao West Coast vs Liaoning Tieren
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast
0:2
Jun 11, 2023 League One
Qingdao West Coast vs Liaoning Tieren
3:1
Dec 8, 2022 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Qingdao West Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Zhanpeng
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 11 / 100
Qingdao West Coast 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Qingdao West Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qingdao West Coast Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liaoning Tieren's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Qingdao West Coast has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Liaoning Tieren remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Qingdao West Coast
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Liaoning Tieren

(Home)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

Qingdao West Coast

(Away)
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
22 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
14 Aug
Qingdao West Coast
0 : 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
09 Aug
Henan Songshan Longmen
0 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 27 15 7 5 51:31 52
2 Beijing Guoan 27 12 10 5 52:33 41
3 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
4 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
5 Yunnan Yukun 27 11 5 11 55:58 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 27 11 8 8 44:35 36
8 Shanghai Shenhua 27 13 5 9 59:47 34
9 Zhejiang Professional 27 10 6 11 47:47 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 27 8 5 14 36:47 29
12 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27 10 8 9 37:32 28
13 Henan Songshan Longmen 27 8 10 9 35:37 28
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 27 6 3 18 34:56 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)