Sport Picks

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Liberia U20 vs Sierra Leone U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
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Match Events

90' Event
Fofanah M.

AI Match Summary

Liberia U20 host Sierra Leone U20 in the Friendly International 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sierra Leone U20 have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Liberia U20 have conceded 1.75 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Liberia U20 have won 1 to Sierra Leone U20's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2024, ending 1:5. xG projections (1.06 - 1.31) back Sierra Leone U20 to edge this. Sierra Leone U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Liberia U20
39%
Draws
30%
Sierra Leone U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Liberia U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Liberia U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Sierra Leone U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia U20 Sierra Leone U20
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 2 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Friendly International
Sierra Leone U20 vs Liberia U20
1:5
Feb 23, 2024 Friendly International
Liberia U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
0:1
Feb 20, 2024 Friendly International
Liberia U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Friendly International
Liberia U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liberia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sierra Leone U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofanah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia U20 32 / 100
Sierra Leone U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia U20 Sierra Leone U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia U20 scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Sierra Leone U20 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Liberia U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sierra Leone U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liberia U20 VS Sierra Leone U20
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%