Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Hernandez A.
21'
21'
Rodriguez A.
37'
37'
Hudson A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Liberia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saprissa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Liberia's way, sitting at 40%.
- Saprissa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Liberia Clean Sheet 68%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liberia | Saprissa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Liberia
2:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Division
Liberia vs Saprissa
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Liberia
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Saprissa vs Liberia
5:1
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Liberia vs Saprissa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liberia Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Saprissa Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liberia 50 / 100
Saprissa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liberia Saprissa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liberia found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Saprissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Liberia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liberia VS Saprissa
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Liberia
(Home) 10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0 Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1 Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1 Liberia
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0 Cartagines
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03 May
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1 Alajuelense
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0 Cartagines
07 Apr
Liberia
5 : 1 San Carlos
26 Mar
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
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Saprissa
(Away) 18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0 Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0 Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1 Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0 Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
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18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0 Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0 Saprissa
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1 Saprissa
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3 Saprissa
19 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1 Saprissa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Alajuelense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
ADR Cobano4
Liberia8
AD Rosario1
ADR Jicaral3
Saprissa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter San Carlos1
Carmelita3
San Carlos1
Cariari Pococi2
Herediano-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quepos FC2
Zeledon5
Escorpiones3
Puntarenas FC4
Sporting FC3
CS Uruguay0
Aserri5
Guadalupe6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cartagines-
1/8-finals
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Liberia1
ADR Jicaral0
Saprissa-
TBD-
Carmelita3
Cariari Pococi1
Herediano-
TBD-
Zeledon1
Puntarenas FC2
Sporting FC7
Guadalupe2
TBD-
Cartagines-
Quarter-finals
Alajuelense1
Liberia4
Saprissa10
Carmelita2
Herediano1
Puntarenas FC3
Sporting FC6
Cartagines2
Semi-finals
Liberia2
Saprissa6
Puntarenas FC2
Sporting FC3
Final
Saprissa3
Sporting FC1